Why does the ERE price change, and what factors drive your payment?

More and more EV drivers want to know what an ERE is actually worth - and whether that figure will be higher or lower in a few years. The short answer: the median of named sources stood at €0.310 per ERE on 2 November 2026, within a range of €0.2905 to €0.425. What happens after that is not an established fact but a scenario, driven by supply, demand, fuel suppliers’ reduction obligations and the statutory renewable-energy share. This article separates what we know from what we can only estimate.

What we actually know right now

The current ERE price is not a fixed tariff set by any single party, but an indication based on public sources. We use the median of named sources: parties that publish a price under their own name and with a date. On 2 November 2026 there are five:

• Lekkerladen, indicative market price: €0.31 per ERE, 2 November 2026
• Xolvere, indicative market price: €0.3033 per ERE (€0.2905 to €0.316), 29 October 2026
• Joulo, indicative market price: €0.3025 per ERE (€0.295 to €0.31), 27 October 2026
• GridCredits, indicative market price: €0.361 per ERE, 13 October 2026
• Joulo, realised sale price: €0.424 per ERE (€0.4225 to €0.425), 29 September 2026

Put in order (€0.3025, €0.3033, €0.31, €0.361, €0.424), the middle value is €0.310 per ERE. The range runs from €0.2905 to €0.425, the lowest and highest values these sources give. An anonymous composite price (erewaarde.nl) gave a lower figure, €0.31, without naming its sources, so it is not included. The current figure and all sources are on our ERE price page, which we update weekly.

The fact that the sources do not match exactly is not a measurement error - it’s how a young, decentralised market behaves. The observations are dated, but they do not yet form a long price history. Every figure further on in this article that goes beyond these observations is an explicitly labelled estimate.

Why do sources disagree?

The Netherlands Emissions Authority (NEa) runs the register and the system behind EREs, but does not set the price. As with any over-the-counter market, the price forms between buyers (fuel suppliers) and sellers (providers and, indirectly, EV drivers), with no central exchange or single quoted rate. Different providers strike deals at different times, in different volumes, with different counterparties - which is why named sources range from €0.2905 to €0.425 per ERE within a few months.

Four factors that drive the ERE price

The price doesn’t move at random. Four factors play a structural role:

Factor	What it does	Direction of the effect
Fuel suppliers’ reduction obligation	Determines how many EREs the market structurally needs to meet statutory CO₂ targets	A higher obligation increases demand and pushes the price upward
Supply of registered EREs	The volume of charging data actually verified and registered with the NEa	More eligible charge points and registrations increase supply, which can push the price down
Renewable energy share (CBS)	Sets the statutory conversion factor from kWh to ERE	A higher share yields more EREs per kWh, not necessarily a higher price per ERE
Supply and demand in the market itself	No central price-setting; buyers and sellers negotiate directly or via providers	Explains why sources can differ at the same point in time

The third factor deserves a little more explanation, because it’s often confused with the price itself. The share of renewable energy on the Dutch grid (the CBS figure from two years earlier) doesn’t set the euro price, but it does determine how many EREs a kWh of charging produces. For 2026 that share is set at 50.5% (CBS 2024), which results in the statutory factor of 0.33269 ERE per kWh of grid electricity. If the national renewable share keeps rising in coming years, the number of EREs per kWh should, in principle, rise too - independent of what a single ERE is worth.

From euro per ERE to euro per kWh

Because the price is quoted per ERE rather than per kWh, converting it shows what a given price actually means for your charging. The statutory factor from the Energy for Transport Regulation (art. 11) is 0.33269 ERE per kWh - roughly 3 kWh of charging per ERE.

Price per ERE	Gross value per kWh (before commission)
€0.2905 (lower end of range)	0.33269 × €0.2905 ≈ €0.097
€0.310 (median of named sources)	0.33269 × €0.310 ≈ €0.103
€0.425 (upper end of range)	0.33269 × €0.425 ≈ €0.141

These are gross figures: your provider’s commission or fixed fee is still deducted before you actually get paid.

Which percentage applies each year for the obligation

The price of an ERE is set between buyers and sellers. The NEa does not set that price. The obligation that drives demand is in the Besluit energie vervoer, in force from 20 June 2026 and read on 15 October 2026. For the land sector, the sector of road vehicles, article 3 names these percentages of CO₂ chain-emission reduction. The number of units is rounded up:

Year	Land sector
2026	14.4%
2027	16.5%
2028	23.1%
2029	25.6%
2030	28.4%

Article 3 also sets, for all those years, a maximum of 1.2% conventional and a maximum of 4.3% for Annex IX-B. Advanced is at least 3.1%, 4.5%, 5.9%, 7.3% and 8.8%. Renewable fuel of non-biological origin is at least 0.05%, 0.10%, 0.46%, 0.96% and 1.45%. Article 3 states no separate minimum or maximum for electricity. In the write-off in article 5, the available electricity units come after the capped categories have been written off.

Inland shipping, article 5a: 2.5%, 5.1%, 7.6%, 10.2% and 14.5%. Sea shipping, article 5d: 2.9%, 4.8%, 5.9%, 7.1% and 8.2%. The NEa writes on Hoofdlijnen, read on 15 October 2026, that the Netherlands chose under RED III at least 14.5% less greenhouse-gas emissions from fuels in the transport sector in 2030, against a fossil reference of 94 grams of CO₂ equivalent per megajoule, and that the obligation is not the same size for every sector. 14.5% is that national goal. 14.5% is also the 2030 percentage for inland shipping. For the land sector, 2030 is 28.4%.

In the besluit that was in force on 15 October 2026, these tables run through 2030. A sentence that ends the scheme on 31 December 2030 was not in that text. An older version of the besluit, valid on 1 January 2026, still showed the old energy-content obligation (for 2026: 22.3%). The text in force since 20 June 2026 sets the ERE obligation for the land sector in 2026 at 14.4%.

The scenarios below project a price. They are not a working-out of these percentages.

Scenarios to 2030: direction, not a guarantee

To give a sense of possible developments, we use three scenarios that each start within today’s range of named sources and apply an annual growth rate: cautious (starting at €0.2905, -3% a year), expected (starting at €0.310, +4% a year) and optimistic (starting at €0.425, +10% a year). Run forward over four years, from end-2026 to end-2030, that works out to roughly €0.26 per ERE in the cautious scenario (€0.2905 × 0.97⁴), around €0.36 in the expected scenario (€0.310 × 1.04⁴) and around €0.62 in the optimistic scenario (€0.425 × 1.10⁴).

These are not predictions. They are arithmetic extensions of assumptions, meant to give direction - not financial advice and not a promise. The actual price depends on the four factors above and may end up higher or lower than any of these scenarios.

What does this mean for your own payment?

The ERE price is only one part of the sum. What you receive net also depends on your annual charging volume and your provider’s terms: providers withhold a commission ranging from about 10% to 28% (as of September 2026), some work with a fixed annual fee instead of a commission, and a few guarantee a minimum amount per kWh. A rising price therefore feeds through differently at a provider with 15% commission than at one with 25%. Use the calculator for an indication based on your own consumption; it uses the weekly-updated median of named sources. Compare providers side by side before choosing.

In practice: how to keep an eye on the price

Always check the current price and date before you calculate anything. The price figures in this article use the figure as of 2 November 2026 and are updated with every site update. Follow the named sources (Joulo, Keuze.nl, gridcredits.nl) or our ERE price page, ask your provider for the most recent price they actually realised rather than just the indicative rate, and treat every scenario beyond today as an assumption, not a guarantee.